Real Estelí vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 4
EST
16%
24%
61%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 1
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
MFC
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MFC
3 - 3
UNA
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 0
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDS
2 - 1
MFC
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |