Real Estelí vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
EST
25%
26%
48%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
EST
4 - 1
UNA
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
DIR
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EST
38%
25%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
UNA
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
MAN
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |