Real Estelí vs FOX Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 1
EST
31%
31%
38%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 1
EST
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
REA
66%
20%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FOX Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
UNA
1 - 1
FVI
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FVI
2 - 1
JAP
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FVI
0 - 1
DEP
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
REA
2 - 2
FVI
70%
17%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FVI
0 - 4
WAL
16%
25%
58%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |