Apertura Nicaragua Final
Global 0-1
Real Estelí vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
WAL
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 4
EST
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
EST
4 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
4 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
DIR
2 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
DIR
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
DIR
5 - 0
JAP
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CDS
1 - 1
DIR
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |