Clausura Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 8-2
Real Estelí vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
DIR
1 - 2
EST
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
REA
68%
19%
12%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
JAP
1 - 5
EST
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
DIR
1 - 2
EST
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 2
DIR
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DIR
0 - 2
MAN
52%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 1
DIR
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DIR
0 - 1
UNA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |