Real Estelí vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
EST
5 - 1
JAP
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
EST
6 - 0
UNA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
REA
1 - 3
EST
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
WAL
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
DIR
1 - 0
WAL
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
DIR
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 0
DIR
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
DIR
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
DIR
1 - 0
UNA
58%
24%
17%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |