Apertura Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 6-1
Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 4
EST
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
EST
4 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
4 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
UNA
3 - 3
EST
15%
22%
63%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
EST
3 - 0
DIR
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 4
EST
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
2 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 1
WAL
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
4 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 2
WAL
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |