Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
EST
4 - 0
JUV
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
JAP
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
COC
1 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
EST
0 - 4
COC
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
EST
0 - 3
REA
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
DIR
1 - 1
WAL
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
1 - 1
WAL
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
WAL
4 - 0
JAP
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
WAL
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
WAL
7 - 0
SAB
57%
21%
22%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |