Real Estelí vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
3º
1º
5
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
14 | 17 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 16 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 14 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
72.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
MFC
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EST
5 - 0
RSA
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 7 | 60 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 2
EST
56%
22%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 2
JAP
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 0
DEP
25%
21%
54%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
MFC
32%
23%
45%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |