Real Estelí vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
2º
1º
15
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 0
EST
13%
24%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 2
EST
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 4
EST
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 2
DIR
10%
22%
68%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 2
MAN
15%
26%
59%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
CDS
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
JAP
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |