Real Estelí vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 4
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
WAL
19%
23%
59%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
WAL
22%
26%
53%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 1
DEP
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
DEP
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |