Real Estelí vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 1
EST
20%
25%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 4
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
0 - 0
EST
20%
27%
54%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
DIR
2 - 0
EST
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
DIR
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 3
DIR
29%
28%
44%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 2
WAL
23%
27%
51%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
JAP
1 - 1
CFC
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
MAN
4 - 0
CFC
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
CFC
3 - 2
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |