Real Estelí vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
UNA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 5
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
EST
6 - 0
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 2
EST
22%
27%
52%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
DEP
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JAP
3 - 1
CFC
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
CFC
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 0
WAL
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 2
EST
22%
27%
52%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |