Real Estelí vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
REA
2 - 5
EST
30%
27%
42%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 5
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 2
UNA
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
CFC
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
3 - 0
JAP
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 0
MAN
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 3
CFC
70%
19%
10%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +2 |