Real Estelí vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
EST
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
KCW
1 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
DIR
1 - 2
EST
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
EST
3 - 0
WAL
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CFC
0 - 0
DIR
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 1
WAL
17%
24%
59%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 0
CFC
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 2
FCS
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
REA
3 - 1
CFC
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |