Real Estelí vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
2º
1º
22
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
UNA
83%
13%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
MAN
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 4
EST
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
EST
4 - 2
JUV
86%
11%
4%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 2
EST
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
JAP
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 1
JAP
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 3
WAL
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
JAP
3 - 1
CDS
24%
26%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 3
JAP
56%
22%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |