Real Estelí vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
5º
2º
19
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
0 - 1
EST
6%
12%
82%
|
67 | 10 | 57 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
EST
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
JAP
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
RBL
1 - 1
JAP
5%
12%
83%
|
50 | 6 | 44 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 0
JUV
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 1
JAP
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 3
DIR
10%
22%
67%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |