Real Estelí vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
5º
2º
19
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
0 - 1
EST
6%
12%
82%
|
68 | 11 | 57 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
EST
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
JAP
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
RBL
1 - 1
JAP
5%
12%
83%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 0
JUV
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 1
JAP
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 3
DIR
10%
22%
67%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |