Real Estelí vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
DEP
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 5
EST
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 3
EST
46%
29%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
JAP
2 - 0
DIR
25%
29%
46%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 0
JAP
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
JAP
2 - 1
FCS
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
REA
5 - 0
JAP
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
JAP
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |