Clausura Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Real Estelí vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 0
EST
30%
30%
40%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
FVI
0 - 7
EST
19%
29%
52%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 0
EST
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
JAP
2 - 0
FVI
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
JAP
2 - 0
UNA
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 1
JAP
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 1
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |