Real Estelí vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
EST
6 - 0
UNA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
REA
1 - 3
EST
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
WAL
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 6
EST
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
EST
9 - 0
FVI
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 0
DIR
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
JAP
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 1
MAN
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
REA
3 - 3
JAP
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
UNA
2 - 0
JAP
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |