CONCACAF League Last 16
Global 1-1
Real Estelí vs CD Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
EST
3 - 1
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
EST
5 - 0
DEP
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 2
EST
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 2
AGU
32%
31%
37%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
SFC
59%
25%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 3
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |