Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Real España vs Juticalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
JUT
2 - 3
RES
34%
23%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
RES
3 - 0
VID
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RES
3 - 2
MOT
35%
25%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
HNP
0 - 2
RES
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JUT
2 - 3
RES
43%
25%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Juticalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
JUT
2 - 3
RES
34%
23%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
4 - 1
JUT
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
JUT
4 - 1
VID
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
HNP
1 - 2
JUT
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JUT
2 - 3
RES
43%
25%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |