Real España vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
RES
3 - 0
RDM
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
RES
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
RES
2 - 1
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 2
RES
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RDM
1 - 0
JAG
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 3
MOT
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 0
JAG
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
VID
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 0
JAG
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |