Real España vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
RES
1 - 2
PLA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VID
2 - 2
RES
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RES
1 - 3
OLI
31%
26%
42%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
RES
12%
15%
73%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RES
1 - 0
PLA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 0
RDM
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 1
OLI
15%
26%
59%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
JUT
0 - 1
JAG
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 3
MOT
19%
29%
52%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VID
1 - 2
JAG
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |