Real España vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 0
RES
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 2
RES
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RES
1 - 1
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RES
2 - 0
RDM
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
3 - 0
HNP
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
2 - 2
RDM
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 1
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 1
MOT
18%
28%
54%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VID
1 - 1
JAG
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |