Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
RES
3 - 1
CSH
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
RES
30%
30%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VID
1 - 0
RES
32%
28%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RES
2 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 2
RES
39%
25%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
HNP
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
HNP
4 - 0
RSO
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HNP
0 - 1
VID
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
HNP
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
HNP
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |