Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 0
RES
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
RES
1 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
2 - 1
RES
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RES
0 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
RDM
0 - 3
RES
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
HNP
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 1
HNP
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 0
OLI
6%
17%
78%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |