Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
RES
2 - 4
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
RES
3 - 0
RSO
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RDM
1 - 2
RES
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VID
0 - 0
RES
31%
28%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 0
RDM
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 1
RSO
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 0
HNP
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 2
PLA
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
JAG
3 - 2
HNP
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |