Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
RES
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
RDM
1 - 1
RES
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
RES
3 - 1
MOT
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VID
0 - 2
RES
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
RES
0 - 0
JUT
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 0
RDM
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VID
2 - 1
HNP
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PLA
2 - 0
HNP
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 2
OLI
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 1
MOT
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |