Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
MOT
2 - 1
RES
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
RES
2 - 1
JUT
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RES
4 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
RES
2 - 0
OLI
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
RSO
0 - 0
RES
35%
26%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUT
3 - 1
HNP
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
HNP
4 - 3
MAR
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VID
5 - 3
HNP
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HNP
1 - 2
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
HNP
2 - 3
MOT
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |