Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
RES
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PLA
2 - 1
RES
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RES
1 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RES
2 - 0
JUT
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
HNP
2 - 1
SOC
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
HNP
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
HNP
0 - 0
RSO
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PLA
0 - 1
HNP
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
VID
1 - 2
HNP
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |