Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RES
1 - 1
RSO
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RES
1 - 2
MOT
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
RES
3 - 1
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
VID
2 - 2
RES
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
HNP
2 - 1
PLA
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 1
HNP
46%
25%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
HNP
1 - 2
OLI
35%
28%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
RSO
3 - 0
HNP
39%
27%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
HNP
0 - 1
MOT
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |