Real España vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
17
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
RES
53%
22%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
ALI
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
RES
2 - 0
JAG
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
JAG
0 - 0
RES
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
6 - 0
VIC
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 2
HNP
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VID
3 - 1
VIC
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 0
VIC
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 1
MAR
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |