Real España vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
2º
1º
8
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 29 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 24 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 19 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
62.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
36% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RES
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
VIC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
JUT
0 - 1
RES
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
RES
2 - 0
OLI
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
RES
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
5 - 0
RSO
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
JAG
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
RSO
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 0
VIC
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
RSO
19%
23%
59%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |