Real España vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
2º
1º
9
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 36 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 29 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 27 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 27 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 23 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 23 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 23 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 13 |
10º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
88% | 18.5% |
|
Next round
|
11.5% | 64.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
RES
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
CDG
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 1
RES
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 3
RES
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
JUT
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 3
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |