Real España vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
RES
1 - 1
RDM
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VID
2 - 2
RES
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
RES
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
RES
0 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 3
RES
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 5
MOT
9%
20%
71%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 1
RDM
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
3 - 0
VID
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 1
MOT
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
MOT
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |