Real España vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
32
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
4 - 3
RES
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
RES
3 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
VID
1 - 0
RES
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOT
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VID
1 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |