Clausura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Real España vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
RES
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
RES
1 - 4
VID
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
RES
3 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HNP
1 - 1
RES
21%
26%
54%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
RES
3 - 1
VIC
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
RES
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
VIC
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
RES
3 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |