Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Real España vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
RES
2 - 4
HNP
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RES
1 - 1
RSO
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RES
1 - 2
MOT
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
RES
3 - 1
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
VID
0 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
PLA
2 - 3
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |