Real España vs CD Génesis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+153%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
6º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
44%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RES
0 - 1
VIC
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
RES
45%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
ALI
17%
27%
57%
|
34 | 74 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
VID
0 - 1
CDG
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
RSO
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
29 | 74 | 45 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
MAR
15%
25%
60%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | +2 |