Real España vs Choloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DSA
2 - 5
RES
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RES
1 - 2
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
RES
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RES
1 - 2
OLI
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
RES
2 - 0
RAY
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Choloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 2
CHO
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 3
MAR
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 0
CHO
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 1
VID
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
CHO
60%
25%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |