Real España vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
21
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
VID
1 - 0
RES
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
RSO
2 - 1
RES
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
RES
3 - 3
MOT
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CDG
2 - 1
RES
16%
25%
59%
|
73 | 11 | 62 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
RES
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 2
CDG
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 13 | 61 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
RSO
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
VID
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |