Real Cuautitlán vs Athletic Club Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cuautitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
AME
3 - 2
RCU
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
RCU
1 - 1
PUE
66%
19%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
IPC
2 - 3
RCU
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RCU
1 - 1
TIA
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
RCU
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Club Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
4 - 2
JAS
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 5
AME
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PUE
2 - 3
ATM
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 1
IPC
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TIA
1 - 0
ATM
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |