Real Cartagena vs Universitario Popayán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 1
CAR
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
QUI
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
AME
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |