Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
LLA
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
LEO
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 0
UNI
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 1
UNI
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
QUI
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |