Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
RSC
3 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
BUC
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 4
JUN
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 0
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
BUC
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |