Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 1
CAR
23%
28%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
BOG
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
RSC
0 - 1
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
LLA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
PER
4 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
RSC
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
BAR
63%
20%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |