Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
PAT
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAS
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 2
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
SFC
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
UNI
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 4
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
4 - 2
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
PER
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |