Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
UNI
62%
19%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 0
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
4%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 2
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CEN
5 - 3
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
ACA
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |