Real Cartagena vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
EQU
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
CAR
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
CAR
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
SFE
58%
23%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
SFE
2 - 0
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 2
SFE
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
SFE
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |